这个马子真正点
这可不是耸人听闻,具备这手本领的不乏其人,别说中国人行,外国人也行。F.A. Hayek早就做到了,虽然他从来没研究过《周易》。
很多人都读过F.A. Hayek的The Road to Serfdom,其实还有人就这本书编过一个漫画版,把作者的高超预见明确地分成了十八个步骤,简单明了。我们可以把第一个步骤看作是“履霜”,然后根据已知的规律一步一步地推知以后的情况。我这里就只引步骤,不放漫画了——
1-War forces “national planning”
To permit total mobilization of your country‘s economy, you gladly surrender many freedoms. You know regimentation was forced by your country’s enemies.
2-Many want “planning” to stay ...
Arguments for a “peace production board” are heard before the war ends. Wartime “planners” who want to stay in power, encourage the idea.
3-The “Planners promise Utopias ....
A rosy plan for farmers goes well in rural areas, a plan for industrial workers is popular in cities -- and so on. Many new “planners” are elected to office ...
4-but they can‘t agree on ONE Utopia
With peace, a new legislature meets; but “win the war” unity is gone. The “planners” nearly come to blows. Each has his own pet plan, won’t budge.
5-And citizens can‘t agree either ....
When the “planners” finally patch up a temporary plan months later, citizens in turn disagree. What the farmer likes, the factory worker doesn’t like.
6-“Planners” hate to force agreement ...
Most “national planners” are well-meaning idealists, balk at any use of force. They hope for some miracle of public agreement as to their patchwork plan.
7-They try to “sell” the plan to all ...
In an unsuccessful effort to educate people to uniform views, “planners” establish a giant propaganda machine -- which coming dictator will find handy.
8-The gullible do find agreement ....
Meanwhile, growing national confusion leads to protest meetings. The least educated -- thrilled and convinced by fiery oratory, form a party.
9-Confidence in “planners” fades ....
The more that the “planners” improvise, the greater the disturbance to normal business. Everybody suffers. People now feel -- rightly -- that “planners” can‘t get things done!
10-The “strong man” is given power ...
In desperation, “planners” authorize the new party leader to hammer out a plan and force its obedience. Later, they’ll dispense with him -- or so they think.
11-The party takes over the country ...
By now, confusion is so great that obedience to the new leader must be obtained at all costs. Maybe you join the party yourself to aid national unity.
12-A negative aim welds party unity ...
Early step of all dictators is to inflame the majority in common cause against some scapegoat minority. In Germany, the negative aim was Anti-Semitism.
13-No one opposes the leader‘s plan ...
It would be suicide; new secret police are ruthless. Ability to force obedience always becomes the No.1 virtue in the “planned state.” Now all freedom is gone.
14-Your profession is “planned” ....
The wider job choice promised by now defunct “planners” turns out to be a tragic farce. “Planners” never have delivered, never will be able to.
15-Your wages are “planned” ....
Divisions of the wage scale must be arbitrary and rigid. Running a “planned state” from central headquarters is clumsy, unfair, inefficient.
16-Your thinking is “planned” ....
In the dictatorship, unintentionally created by the planners, there is no room for difference of opinion. Posters, radio, press -- all tell you the same lies!
17-Your recreation is “planned” ....
It is no coincidence that sports and amusements have been carefully “planned” in all regimented nations. Once started, “planners” can’t stop.
18-Your disciplining is “planned” ....
If you‘re fired from your job, it’s apt to be by a firing squad. What used to be an error has now become a crime against the state. Thus ends the road to serfdom!
厉害吧,人家这可能就叫“善《易》者不卜”,一个卦没排,就推演出了几十年后的社会发展,现在几十年过去,我们回头一看,八九不离十啊!
回到《文言》,下一句:“‘直’其正也,‘方’其义也。君子敬以直内,义以方外,敬义立而德不孤。‘直、方、大,不习无不利’,则不疑其所行也。”——这是解释六二爻的爻辞的,把“直方大”好好发挥了一回。
- 上一篇:凡事总要听听反方意见
- 下一篇:谈谈天,说说地
